Re: El Nino

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Posted by Elana Janson on August 27, 2015 at 09:03:39:

In Reply to: El Nino posted by Christof van Tonder on August 17, 2015 at 10:35:53:

Yes, scientists say this year could produce one of the strongest El Ninos on record.

What happens in an El Nino year?

Trade winds weaken

Every few years, the prevailing Pacific trade winds that blow east to west can weaken. Scientists are still speculating why exactly this happens.

When the trade winds weaken, the warm water that accumulated near Indonesia starts moving back eastward (pulled back down by gravity). When this happens the underwater layer of water starts sinking and as a result, there's less cold water rising up from the deep ocean near South America — so the waters near Peru start warming up.

This causes sea surface temperatures in the east and central Pacific to start rising and the trade winds to weaken even further.

Less rain and more rain

Rainfall starts following that warm pool of water as it travels eastward. The result being El Nino brings drier weather in places like Indonesia and Australia, and heavier rains in places like Peru (or California). The rain is essentially moving east.

Scientists officially declare El Nino when sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean rise 0.5°C above their historical baseline for three months in a row — and once atmospheric conditions and rainfall patterns shift accordingly.

During strong El Ninos, the subtropical jet stream that carries wet storms over southern Mexico and Central America moves northward, bringing numerous storms over Southern California and the southern United States.
Only exceptionally strong, El Ninos, historically were powerful enough to shift the entire jet stream to cover all of California, giving the south double its rainfall and the north double the normal snowfall. Severe El Ninos hit in 1982-83 and 1997-98.

So far this year's El Nino is of moderate strength, but getting stronger.

Revelation

Revelation confirms the blowing of strong wind in the end time. Revelation specifically indicates a time when wind will specifically be weakened or ‘held back’.

Revelation 7:1-3King James Version (KJV)
7 And after these things I saw four angels standing on the four corners of the earth, holding the four winds of the earth, that the wind should not blow on the earth, nor on the sea, nor on any tree.
2 And I saw another angel ascending from the east, having the seal of the living God: and he cried with a loud voice to the four angels, to whom it was given to hurt the earth and the sea,
3 Saying, Hurt not the earth, neither the sea, nor the trees, till we have sealed the servants of our God in their foreheads.

At a certain point in the end time the “four angels, to whom it was given to hurt the earth and the sea” will after the period of the subsiding of the wind, ‘hurt’ the earth and sea.

There is the indication that after a tetrad mighty wind will blow.

Revelation 6:12 –13 King James Version (KJV)

12 And I beheld when he had opened the sixth seal, and, lo, there was a great earthquake; and the sun became black as sackcloth of hair, and the moon became as blood;
13 And the stars of heaven fell unto the earth, even as a fig tree casteth her untimely figs, when she is shaken of a mighty wind.

Global Warming

Of significance is the new research that links the Pacific trade winds play a role in global warming.

Reported in the media December 2014

“New research indicates that shifts in Pacific trade winds played a key role in twentieth century climate variation, a sign that they may again be influencing global temperatures.
The study, led by scientists at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and the University of Arizona (UA), uses a novel method of analyzing chemical changes in coral to show that weak tropical Pacific trade winds coincided with globally warming temperatures early in the twentieth century. When the natural pattern shifted and winds began to strengthen after 1940, the warming slowed.
The finding gives support to the theory that strong Pacific trade winds are currently helping to prevent global temperatures from climbing, even as society continues to emit carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. When the winds weaken as part of a natural cycle, warming will likely resume once again, the authors say.
“Strong winds in the tropical Pacific are playing a role in the slowdown of warming over the past 15 years,” said lead author Diane Thompson, a postdoctoral scientist at NCAR. “When the winds inevitably change to a weaker state, warming will start to accelerate again.””
The slowing of the winds with the 1982 and 1997 El Nino’s may have played a role in global warming. Global warming in turn likely affects weather patterns globally.
In the decade after the 1997 – 1998 El Nino devastating hurricanes developed in the Atlantic.

Devastating hurricanes

Ike (September 2008)

Although it was classified as a category 2 storm, Ike remains the third costliest hurricane in U.S. history after Katrina and 1992’s Andrew.

Katrina (August 2005)

This category 3 hurricane is the costliest in U.S. history, with damages estimated at $81 billion. It’s also one of the deadliest, with deaths exceeding 1,800 in Florida, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Winds reached a maximum of 175 miles per hour, but most of the storm’s devastation resulted from levy failure in the low-lying city of New Orleans.

Rita (September 2005)

Hitting less than a month after Katrina, this category 3 storm prompted a massive evacuation effort of more than 3 million to prevent the tragedy Katrina effected.

Hurricane Wilma (October 2005)

Wilma’s arrival in Florida was measured at a category 3 level, with winds reaching speeds of 185 miles per hour.

Charley (August 2004)

At a category 4 classification, Charley was the strongest storm to hit the U.S. since—again—1992’s Andrew, which clocked in at category 5.

Hurricane Ivan (September 2004)

Ivan hit the U.S. as a category 3 storm, sweeping through Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, and Texas.

Violent typhoons

The Pacific has seen violent typhoons since the 1997-1998 El Nino

Super typhoon Soudelor - Western Pacific – August 2015

The storm swept through the Pacific Ocean with sustained winds of more than 160 mph and gusts approaching 200 mph — the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane.

Super Typhoon Haiyan - Samar, Philippines, 2013

Winds roared at a calculated 220 mph and a 10-foot surge in one village in Leyte. Said to be the most powerful storm to make landfall.

Typhoon Bopha - Mindanao, Philippines, 2012

The tropical cyclone slammed the island of Mindanao on Dec. 3 with wind gusts of 175 mph. Category 5 super typhoon

Typhoon Magi - Luzon, Philippines, 2010

The super typhoon made landfall on Oct. 18 and hit the Philippines with winds of 145 mph.

Typhoon Zeb - Luzon, Philippines, 1998

Fifteen years before Typhoon Haiyan and 12 years before Typhoon Magi, Typhoon Zeb boomed through the island of Luzon in the Philippines on Oct. 10 with 125 mph winds.
It should be added that the majority of the greatest super typhoons ever recorded appeared after 1998.

It seems therefore that the severe El Nino of 1997-1998 where the winds of the earth were slowed there followed a decade and more of severe and devastating hurricanes and typhoons.

With my knowledge that we are in the “short season” the above happenings seem to appear to correlate with the words of Revelation that winds were held back and then there followed devastating hurricanes and cyclones across the globe.

Taking all the above into account one cannot at the present time forget the mighty El Nino of 1997 – 1998

The possible 2014-2015 El Nino

Is there going to be a savage El Nino this coming year or is it just going to fizzle out?

The coming together of the signs of the end

The important aspect of Revelation seems to be the coming together of all the various ‘signs’ indicated in the book.

I don’t think one can ignore the 1997-1998 El Nino nor the likes of Typhoon Haiyan and other great typhoons and hurricanes since 2000, that happened in the time that I believe is the ‘short season’ - these together with the great earthquakes mentioned my the previous post.


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